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Now that the rope has snapped, do we tie its ends back together, or shall we undo its dangling braids still further, to see what we might weave from them?
Covid is showing us that when humanity is united in common cause, phenomenally rapid change is possible. A few months ago, a proposal to halt commercial air travel would have seemed preposterous. Likewise for the radical changes we are making in our social behavior, economy, and the role of government in our lives.
Covid demonstrates the power of our collective will when we agree on what is important. What else might we achieve, in malaysia bus service essay What do we want to achieve, and what world shall we create?
That is always the next question when anyone awakens to their power. Covid is like a rehab intervention that breaks the addictive hold of normality. To interrupt a habit is to make it visible; it is to turn it from a compulsion to a choice. We might ask, after so many have lost their jobs, whether all of them are the jobs the world most needs, and whether our labor and creativity would be better applied elsewhere.
We might ask, having done without it for a while, whether we really need so much air travel, Disneyworld malaysia bus service essay, or trade shows. What parts of the economy will we want to restore, and what parts might we choose to let go of? Covid has interrupted what looked to be like a military regime-change operation in Venezuela — perhaps imperialist wars are also one of those things we might relinquish in a future of global cooperation.
And on a darker note, what among the things that are being taken away right now — civil liberties, freedom of assembly, sovereignty over our bodies, in-person gatherings, hugs, handshakes, and public life — might we need to exert intentional political and personal will to restore?
For most of my life, I have had the feeling that humanity was nearing a crossroads. Imagine walking a road, and up ahead you see it, you see the crossroads. Cresting the hill, you see you were mistaken, it was malaysia bus service essay mirage, it was farther away than you thought. You keep walking. Sometimes it comes into view, sometimes it disappears from sight and it seems like this road goes on forever. No, malaysia bus service essay, there it is again!
Always it is almost here, malaysia bus service essay. Never is it here. Now, all of a sudden, we go around a bend and here it is. We stop, hardly able to believe that now it is happening, hardly able to believe, after years of confinement to the road of our predecessors, that now we finally have a choice. We are right to stop, stunned at the newness of our situation. Some lead to hell on earth. And some lead to a world more healed and more beautiful than we ever dared believe to be possible.
I write these words with the aim of standing here with you — bewildered, scared maybe, yet also with a sense of new possibility — at this point of diverging paths. Let us gaze down some of them and see where they lead. I heard this story last week from a friend. She was in a grocery store and saw a woman sobbing in the aisle.
Flouting social distancing rules, she went to the woman and gave her a hug. Going without hugs for a few weeks seems a small price to pay if it will stem an epidemic that could take millions of lives, malaysia bus service essay. Initially, the argument for social distancing was that it would save millions of lives by preventing a sudden surge of Covid cases from overwhelming the medical system. Now the authorities tell us that some social distancing may need to continue indefinitely, at least until there is an effective vaccine.
I would like to put that argument in a larger context, especially as we look to the long term. Lest we institutionalize distancing and reengineer society around it, let us be aware of what choice we are making and why, malaysia bus service essay. The same goes for the other changes happening around the coronavirus epidemic. Some commentators have observed how it plays neatly into an agenda of totalitarian control.
Many of these were underway before Covid; since its advent, they have been irresistible. The same goes for the automation of commerce; the transition from participation in sports and entertainment to remote viewing; the migration of life from public to private spaces; the transition away from place-based schools toward online education, the destruction of small business, the decline of brick-and-mortar stores, and the movement of human work and leisure onto screens.
Covid is accelerating preexisting trends, political, economic, and social. Since the threat of infectious disease, like the threat of terrorism, never goes away, control measures can easily become permanent. If we were going in this direction anyway, the current justification must be part of a deeper impulse. I will analyze this impulse in two parts: the reflex of control, and the war on death. Thus understood, an initiatory opportunity emerges, one that we are seeing already in the form of the solidarity, compassion, and care that Covid has inspired.
Nearing the end of April, official statistics say that aboutpeople have died from Covid By the time it runs its course, the death toll could be ten times or a hundred times bigger. Each one of these malaysia bus service essay has loved ones, family and friends. Compassion and conscience call us to do what we can to avert unnecessary tragedy. This is personal for me: my own infinitely dear but frail mother is among the most vulnerable to a disease that kills mostly the aged and the infirm.
What will the final malaysia bus service essay be? That question is impossible to answer at the time of this writing. Early reports were alarming; for weeks malaysia bus service essay official number from Wuhan, circulated endlessly in the media, was a shocking 3. That, coupled with its highly contagious nature, pointed to tens of millions of deaths worldwide, or even as many as million. More recently, malaysia bus service essay, estimates have plunged as it has become apparent that most cases are mild or asymptomatic.
Since testing has been skewed towards the seriously ill, the death rate has looked artificially high. A more recent paper goes even further, estimating total US infections at a hundred times current confirmed cases which would mean a CFR of less than 0.
These papers involve a lot of fancy epidemiological guesswork, but a very recent study using an antibody test found that cases in Santa Clara, CA have been underreported by a factor of The story of the Diamond Princess cruise ship bolsters this view. A cruise ship is a perfect setting for contagion, and there was plenty of time for the virus to spread on board before anyone did anything about it, yet only a fifth were infected.
A research team concluded from the large number of asymptomatic cases that the true fatality rate in China is around 0.
That is still two to five times higher than seasonal flu. Based on the above and adjusting for much younger demographics in Africa and South and Southeast Asia my guess is about , deaths in the US and 2 million globally.
Every day the media reports the total number of Covid cases, but no one has any idea what the true number is, because only a tiny proportion of the population has been tested. If tens of millions have the virus, asymptomatically, we would not know it.
Further complicating the matter is that Covid deaths may be overreported in many hospitals, if someone dies with Covid they are recorded as having died from Covid or underreported some may have died at home.
Let me repeat: no one knows what is really happening, including me. Let us be aware of two contradictory tendencies in human affairs, malaysia bus service essay.
The second is denial, the irrational rejection of information that might disrupt normalcy and comfort. Malaysia bus service essay Daniel Schmachtenberger asksHow do you know what you believe is true?
Cognitive biases such as these are especially virulent in an atmosphere of political polarization; for example, liberals will tend to reject any information that might be woven into a pro-Trump narrative, while conservatives will tend to embrace it. If the final death tally, which will itself be the subject of dispute, is lower than feared, some will say that is because the controls worked. To me, the most baffling puzzle is why at the present writing there seem to be no new cases in China.
It should have spread widely during Chinese New Year, malaysia bus service essay, despite a few travel restrictions, nearly every plane, train, and bus is packed with people traveling all over the country.
What is going on here? Bear with me. As ofaccording to the FAOfive million children worldwide die every year of hunger; inmillion children were stunted and 50 million were wasted.
Hunger was falling until recently, but has started to rise again in the last three years. Five million is many times more people than have died so far from Covid, yet no government has declared a state of emergency or asked that we radically alter our way of life to save them.
Nor do we see a comparable level of alarm and action around suicide — the mere tip of an iceberg of despair and depression — which kills over a million people a year globally and 50, in the USA.
Or drug overdoses, which kill 70, in the USA, the autoimmunity epidemic, which affects Why, for that matter, are we not in a frenzy about averting nuclear armageddon or ecological collapse, but, to the contrary, pursue choices that magnify those very dangers?
It is the contrary: If we can change so radically for Covid, we can do it for these other conditions too. Let us ask why are we able to unify our collective will to stem this virus, but not to address other grave threats to humanity. Why, until now, has society been so frozen in its existing trajectory? The answer is revealing, malaysia bus service essay. Simply, in the face of world hunger, malaysia bus service essay, addiction, autoimmunity, suicide, or ecological collapse, we as a society do not know what to do, malaysia bus service essay.
That's because there is nothing external against which to fight. Now along comes malaysia bus service essay contagious epidemic, and finally we can spring into action. It is a crisis for which control works: quarantines, lockdowns, isolation, malaysia bus service essay, hand-washing; control of movement, control of information, control of our bodies. That makes Covid a convenient receptacle for our inchoate fears, a place to channel our growing sense of helplessness in the face of the changes overtaking the world.
Covid is a threat that we know how to meet. Unlike so many of our other fears, Covid offers a plan. How they welcome a challenge that they finally can meet. How eager they are to embrace it as a paramount crisis.
How naturally their systems of information management select for the most alarming portrayals of it. How easily the public joins the panic, malaysia bus service essay, embracing a threat that the authorities can handle as a proxy for the various unspeakable threats that they cannot.
Buses in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia 2020 [4K]
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